Amplifying Black Perspectives: Insights from the 2024 Pre-Election Survey

Methodology

The Center for Policy Analysis and Research at the Congressional Black Caucus Foundation conducted this study to understand the attitudes of our Annual Legislative Conference attendees regarding the 2024 election and key issues that impact the Black community. For this analysis, we surveyed 160 Black adults who attended the conference. We conducted surveys during the conference, from September 11-15. The surveys were sent via email and completed independently online. The survey questions are available here.

Introduction

The theme of the Congressional Black Caucus Foundation’s 53rd Annual Legislative Conference (ALC) was From Vision to Victory: Amplifying Black Voices. In recognition of our commitment to uplifting Black communities, the Center for Policy Analysis and Research (CPAR) launched our first original data collection project. We surveyed ALC attendees on a variety of topics, including the 2024 election. We captured information about Black Americans’ feelings about Kamala Harris’ historic nomination, Project 2025, and the civic engagement work that Black Americans were participating in ahead of the election. Our survey respondents voiced concerns about voter suppression and political violence, but they were planning to vote and help other people get to the polls. In the aftermath of the 2024 election, we conducted another study to assess if their feelings have changed, which will be published in our post-election report. Our data collection project shines a light on the perspectives of Black Americans before and after the 2024 election and offers insight into how they are preparing for the second Trump presidency.

Demographics

Our sample is highly educated, as 60% of respondents have obtained advanced degrees. The respondents were predominantly female (80%) and resided mostly on the East Coast.[i] Nine percent of respondents identified as members of the LGBTQ+ community, and the sample had a fairly normal distribution of different age groups. Black communities are not monolithic, and our research suggests that factors like age, geography, and sexual orientation shaped the political attitudes of our respondents.

ALC Research Participant Demographics

Over two-thirds of respondents were born between 1965 and 1995.

Nearly half of our respondents live in the South.

Key Issues for Black Americans

We surveyed the respondents on 14 topics and asked them to determine if the topics were key issues for Black Americans. One hundred percent of respondents said that education and criminal justice were key issues for Black communities. They also ranked disability rights, housing, and voting rights highly. The lowest rated topics concerned foreign matters: national security (70%), immigration (65.6%), and global affairs (61.9%). This is notable because Kamala Harris and President-Elect Donald Trump made immigration a focal point of the 2024 Presidential race. In addition, the Israel-Palestine conflict that erupted in October 2023 and the ongoing war in Ukraine garnered media attention throughout the campaign. A majority of respondents indicated that every issue we asked about was a key issue. Despite this, our results indicate that Black Americans do not think foreign affairs are as central to their lives as domestic policies like education and housing affordability.

Key Issues by Demographic

The 2024 election cycle was rife with divisive rhetoric that targeted marginalized groups, including television ads that framed LGBTQ issues as “they/them vs. you,” Donald Trump’s debate response about immigrants taking “Black jobs,” and JD Vance’s comment about single women being “childless cat ladies,” to name a few.[ii] These politicians used inflammatory comments to sew divisions between communities. While all our respondents identified as Black, their values were shaped by their diverse intersectional experiences. We evaluated how the intersections of race, gender, sexual orientation, and age impacted the respondents’ perspectives on key issues.

We found a sharp difference — nearly 30 percentage points — between LGBTQ and heterosexual respondents on the importance of LGBTQ issues. Male respondents were 7% less likely than female respondents to classify reproductive rights as a key issue. Lastly, while climate change was a key issue for most Gen Z respondents, about 25% of Gen X and Baby Boomer respondents said climate change was not a key issue. These results show that the Black community is not uniform on these issues, and politicians and advocates need to diversify their approaches in order to best address voters’ needs.

One in four heterosexual respondents did not believe that LGBTQ issues were key issues for Black Americans prior to the election. In contrast, 100% of LGBTQ respondents believed these were key issues.

Nearly one-third of our Gen X respondents do not think LGBTQ issues are key issues for Black Americans.

Over 90% of female respondents believed reproductive rights were a key issue. Fewer male respondents believed reproductive rights were a key issue, but it still represents an overwhelming majority.

Baby Boomers, who are outside of childbearing age, all affirmed reproductive rights as a key issue for Black Americans, compared to only about 80% of Millennials.

More than a quarter of Gen X respondents did not think climate change was a key issue. Nearly 90% of Gen Z believed climate change was a key issue, which is consistent with other studies.

Male respondents were slightly less likely to indicate that climate change is a key issue for Black Americans than female respondents.

Pre-Election Concerns

We asked our respondents to share their thoughts on a series of potential concerns around the 2024 election, with answers ranging from “Not Concerned at All” to “Very Concerned.” Respondents cited the spread of misinformation and disinformation, the malicious use of deepfakes or artificial intelligence, and violence following the election as the issues of greatest concern. These issues were salient in the 2020 election cycle, and respondents expressed great concern that they would occur again. Additionally, respondents were more likely to express concern that other voters would face intimidation at the polls or have their mail-in ballots rejected than concern about their own personal experiences. This suggests that policy does not happen in a vacuum. While the respondents hail from 25 states with varying degrees of voter suppression, our results indicate that election concerns are national issues.

How concerned are you about the following conditions in reference to the 2024 election?

Your ballot being rejected
Your mail-in ballot being counted
Accidentally violating polling place rules
Gerrymandering in your neighborhood

Not at all concerned

Not very concerned

Neutral

Somewhat concerned

Very concerned

More than half of the respondents were concerned about gerrymandering but were less worried about their ballot being rejected or accidentally violating the rules of their polling place.

The safety of election workers
Violence following the election
The legitimacy of the election results
Ineligible voters casting ballots

Not at all concerned

Not very concerned

Neutral

Somewhat concerned

Very concerned

Respondents showed significant concern about the safety of election workers and the threat of violence after the election. Over 50% of respondents said that they were either “Not very concerned” or “Not at all concerned” about ineligible voters casting ballots despite an increase in voter ID laws across the country.

Your ability to vote due to a lack of time, resources, or other barriers
Personally facing voter intimidation
Experiencing long wait times at the polls
Reduced number of polling places near you

Not at all concerned

Not very concerned

Neutral

Somewhat concerned

Very concerned

The respondents were overwhelmingly not concerned about their ability to vote or the likelihood that they would face intimidation at the polls. There were mixed results about having a lengthy wait time at the polls and the reduction of polling places.

You or someone you know not being permitted to vote because of a past felony conviction
Reduced early voting hours
Restrictive voter ID laws

Not at all concerned

Not very concerned

Neutral

Somewhat concerned

Very concerned

Over 50% of respondents were somewhat or very concerned about polling accessibility, including restrictive voter ID laws, felon disenfranchisement, and reduced early voting hours.

The spreading of misinformation and/or disinformation
Being targeted by robocalls
The malicious use of deepfakes and other artificial intelligence (AI) technologies
Foreign interference in the election

Not at all concerned

Not very concerned

Neutral

Somewhat concerned

Very concerned

The respondents were very concerned about technology inflicting harm in the election. The spread of misinformation and disinformation was the top concern for over 90% of respondents, followed by the malicious use of deepfakes, foreign interference, and robocalls.

Spotlight: Pre-Election Concerns by Geography

The South has both the largest concentration of Black Americans and a long history of racial discrimination and voter suppression. Since over 50% of our respondents lived in the South, we analyzed the concerns of our Southern respondents in comparison to the other regions (Northeast, Midwest, and West) to see if geography affected election perceptions. We found that, generally, Southern respondents were more likely to be “Very Concerned” in response to the statements than respondents from other regions. Southern respondents were three times more likely to say they were “Very Concerned” about their ability to vote, which is the result of voter suppression efforts. For example, Alabama does not offer early voting, so voters often face long lines and must make work and childcare arrangements in order to make their voices heard on Election Day. Southern respondents were also twice as concerned about accidentally violating the rules of their polling place. Many Southern states have passed laws to change voting procedures since 2020, like the 2021 Georgia bill that made it illegal to distribute water to voters waiting in line.[iii] These results show that even highly educated voters struggled to understand how to vote in their state. This highlights the need for more robust voter education plans in Southern states. Lastly, Southern respondents were more concerned about the use of technology to spread misinformation, including the use of robocalls and deepfakes. Only a handful of Southern states have legislation to regulate the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in political ads, and the use of this technology is having a disproportionate impact on Black Southerners. Several of the Southern states, like Georgia and North Carolina, are swing states where campaigns spent millions of dollars on political advertising in the 2024 election cycle. These results capture Southern voters’ anxieties about accessing accurate information on political candidates and their policies.

Your ability to vote due to a lack of time, resources, or other barriers Personally facing voter intimidation Ineligible voters casting ballots Accidentally violating polling place rules Your ballot being rejected People being removed from voter lists because they haven't voted recently or haven't confirmed their registration Experiencing long wait times at the polls The spreading of misinformation and/or disinformation Gerrymandering in your neighborhood Other voters' mail-in ballots being counted Other voters facing intimidation Violence following the election The safety of election workers Restrictive voter ID laws Reduced number of polling places near you The malicious use of deepfakes and other artificial intelligence (AI) technologies The legitimacy of the election results Other voters' ballots being rejected Being targeted by robocalls Foreign interference in the election Your mail-in ballot being counted You or someone you know not being permitted to vote because of a past felony conviction
Southern respondents showed more concern about their ability to vote than voters in other regions, although the majority of all respondents were not at all concerned by this issue.

Election Enthusiasm

ALC took place six weeks before Election Day, and we asked attendees about their political enthusiasm. Respondents showed significant enthusiasm about the election that persisted across gender, sexual orientation, region, and age group, with minimal variance. This finding contrasts with the narrative that voters of color were apathetic or disengaged from politics in 2024. Vice President Kamala Harris attended CBCF’s 2024 Phoenix Awards Dinner as a part of ALC, and the room was buzzing with excitement. She was fresh off the Democratic National Convention, where she accepted her historic nomination for President. In the aftermath of her nomination, we asked conference attendees about their enthusiasm about the election since she entered the race. Three out of four respondents expressed more excitement once Harris emerged as the Democratic nominee.

An overwhelming majority of respondents were enthusiastic about the 2024 Election in September.

Female respondents had a slightly higher percentage of “Very Enthusiastic” answers, but both groups showed overwhelming enthusiasm.

The older generations were more likely to be very enthusiastic about the election than the younger generations.

Midwestern respondents had the most enthusiasm, but Southern respondents were also very enthusiastic about the election.

More registered Democrats were not at all enthusiastic about the election than Independent or Unaffiliated respondents.

Nearly four out of five respondents were more excited about the Election after Kamala Harris received the Democratic nomination.

Gen Z and Gen X respondents had the most excitement about Kamala Harris.

Midwestern respondents were the most enthusiastic about Kamala Harris, but respondents from every region except the South had a neutral or positive reaction to Kamala Harris’ nomination.

Male respondents were slightly more enthusiastic about Kamala Harris than women, but both groups were enthusiastic.

Heterosexual respondents were slightly more enthusiastic about Kamala Harris’ nomination than LGBTQ respondents.

Pre-Election Conclusions

We polled Black Americans’ attitudes on the issues that shaped the 2024 Election. Our pre-election results highlight the complexity of Black communities. We identified unifying themes, such as the importance of issues like education and criminal justice over immigration to respondents and the fear of reoccurring violence in the wake of the Jan 6 insurrection. We also found variances. Respondents ranked global affairs as one of the least relevant issues to their lives but cited foreign interference in the 2024 election as one of their top concerns. Respondents in the Baby Boomer generation were more emphatic that reproductive rights were a key issue for Black Americans than Millennials, even though Millennials are more likely to begin starting families. Our results also highlight how respondents’ views on topics like LGBTQ issues and reproductive health were shaped by age, gender, and sexual orientation. In our analysis of regional differences, we found that the respondents shared the same top concerns: the use of technology by foreign or domestic actors to interfere with election results and threats to the safety of voters and election workers. However, Southern respondents were more likely to be “Very Concerned” about these situations than respondents in other regions. Overall, our results show a drop-off between those who were and were not most acutely affected by key political issues. Male respondents were slightly less concerned about reproductive rights than women, younger respondents were more concerned about climate change than the older generations, and Southern respondents were more concerned about people being purged from the voting rolls and being targeted by robocalls than respondents in other states. While these issues are important to Black communities at large, elected officials must listen to the voices of those who are most directly impacted to ensure that marginalized voices are elevated. All Black Americans should feel safe while exercising their right to vote no matter which state or region they live in.

In the next section of this report, we will analyze reactions to the 2024 election results and see if respondents’ policy priorities have shifted.

Footnotes

[i] We used the following geographic classifications– The bolded states indicate where our respondents reside: Northeast (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island,  New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Delaware); Midwest (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota,  Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota); South (Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, Washington, D.C., West Virginia,  Alabama, Kentucky,  Mississippi, Tennessee, Arkansas,  Louisiana, Oklahoma, and  Texas); West (Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming, Alaska,  California, Hawaii, Oregon, and Washington).

[ii] Davis, S. (2024, October 11). Republican campaigns have been blanketing the airwaves with anti-trans ads. NPR. https://www.npr.org/2024/10/11/nx-s1-5148774/republican-campaigns-have-been-blanketing-the-airwaves-with-anti-trans-ads; Wile, R., & Adams, C. (2024, June 28). “Black jobs”? Trump draws pushback after anti-immigration rant. NBC News. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/nbcblk/trumps-anti-immigration-black-jobs-reactions-presidential-debate-rcna159375; Reinstein, J. (2024, July 25). JD Vance slammed for “childless cat ladies” comment. ABC News. https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/jd-vance-slammed-childless-cat-ladies-comment/story?id=112272258.

[iii] This law is currently suspended due to ongoing legal challenges.